What the prediction markets think will happen in Illinois. The races, the teams, the courts and the weather, every price side by side.
Chicago Bears2nd of 16up 2 points over 24h14%+614Chicago Bears3rd of 4up 1 points over 24h27%+270
Northwestern6th of 18up 1 points over 24h2%+4900
Illinois12th of 181%+9900
Illinois logged 677,053 early in-person ballots by October 29, 2026, 57% more than the whole March primary, while Kalshi held a Democratic governor at 98%, which means traders read the surge as a bigger electorate rather than a closer race.
Illinois Predictions staff ·
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Illinois predictions as the exchanges price them: the state's 2026 races for governor, U.S. Senate and the House, the Chicago clubs and the Big Ten programs in Champaign and Evanston, and what moves each price.
A news site published by Market Movers Media Inc. about the prediction markets that price Illinois questions: the November 3, 2026 races for governor, U.S. Senate and the U.S. House, and the seasons of the Bears, Bulls, Blackhawks, Fighting Illini and Northwestern. It reports what the prices imply and takes no side.
An exchange that lists contracts on yes-or-no questions, such as which party wins the Illinois governor's race on November 3, 2026, and pays a fixed amount on each contract that resolves Yes. The price traders pay for that payout reads as the chance they give the outcome.
From Kalshi and Polymarket, delivered by Prediction Genius; some Illinois lines, such as the Bears' playoff question and the Fighting Illini's win total, trade on Kalshi only. Each line prints the cheapest Yes any exchange quotes, with that exchange named, never an average.
No. The site reports what a market implies about an Illinois question and never which side to hold, which exchange to use or whom to vote for; Market Movers Media Inc. has no commercial relationship with any exchange it names, and nothing here is financial or legal advice.
The site draws no conclusion. Its legal status page reports the Illinois Gaming Board's cease-and-desist letters to Kalshi on April 1, 2025 and to Polymarket US on January 27, 2026, and the federal court ruling in Chicago of October 2, 2026, each in the record's own words.
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