Chicago Bears Prediction Markets & 2026 NFL Odds

Chicago Bears 2026 win total odds

Chicago Bears prediction markets start from the win total, the contract that settles on how many of their 17 regular-season games the Bears win. Kalshi lists a contract for every whole number of wins and Polymarket lists half-win lines, and both count the regular season only, so a playoff game adds nothing to the total. A rung closes early once Chicago's record decides it. The Chicago Bears win total market sets out both venues' terms, and the live board above shows what each one quotes.

Three more Bears contracts sit beside it. The Bears playoff market asks whether Chicago is one of the seven NFC clubs in the postseason, a question only Kalshi prices. The NFC North market pays on the club the NFL declares division champion, with all four division clubs listed on Kalshi and Polymarket. The NFC Championship market pays on the winner of the conference title game at the end of the NFC playoffs.

The NFC North picture

Minnesota led the NFC North at 5-0 through October 16, 2026, and had already beaten both Chicago and Green Bay. Green Bay, Detroit and Chicago were 3-2, two games back, and ESPN listed the Bears fourth of the four; they are the only one of the three to have lost twice inside the division, 9-3 to the Vikings at Soldier Field on September 20 and 31-7 at Lambeau Field on October 11. Across the conference the same standings put Chicago seventh, the last NFC playoff place. The Bears had scored 119 points and allowed 96, and 22 points of that margin came in one afternoon. Four division games remain: at Detroit on November 26, Green Bay on December 25, Detroit on January 3, 2027 and the finale at Minnesota on January 10.

What has moved the Chicago Bears market

The season opened with a 59-37 win at Carolina on September 13. A week later Caleb Williams tore his right hamstring in the 9-3 loss to Minnesota, according to ESPN's injury report, and he has missed the three games since. Case Keenum ran the offense in Week 3 and Tyson Bagent started the next two. Chicago went 2-1 in that stretch, beating the Philadelphia Eagles 27-7 on September 28 and the New York Jets 23-12 on October 4 before the loss at Green Bay. ESPN listed Williams as questionable for the October 18 game at Atlanta in a note dated October 16, 2026.

The schedule then tightens. New England visits on Thursday, October 22, four days after Atlanta, and the Bears play at Seattle's Lumen Field on Monday, November 2.

Where the Chicago Bears play

Soldier Field in Chicago hosts nine of the Bears' 17 regular-season games on ESPN's 2026 schedule. Six are still to come: New England on October 22, Tampa Bay on November 8, New Orleans on November 22, Jacksonville on December 6, Green Bay on December 25 and Detroit on January 3, 2027. The stadium is also the home ground of Chicago Fire FC, the city's MLS club, for most of its 2026 league schedule.

When the Chicago Bears market resolves

Every Bears contract here waits on the regular season, which ends at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis on January 10, 2027. Kalshi lists an expected expiration of January 11 for the playoff and NFC North contracts and January 18 for the win total. The NFC title is settled later, by the conference championship game after the playoffs, and Kalshi expects to settle its Chicago contract by February 8, 2027. This page stays up through each result, and the market pages record how each one settled.